Wyckoff distribution: how a top is built and how to read it

What you will learn

  • Identify the events of a distribution range (PSY, BC, AR, ST, UT, UTAD, SOW, LPSY) and the phase each belongs to
  • Distinguish distribution from re-accumulation, and re-distribution from accumulation
  • Use the structure to protect gains or plan a short with a defined stop and target
  • Avoid the most common misreads of tops

Check your understanding

Answer each question to see the explanation. Answers are not saved.

  1. After a nine-month advance, a stock gaps up on news with its heaviest volume of the year. Over the following week it falls 11%, then rallies back toward the high on lower volume and stalls just below it. How would you label these three events?

    1. A SC, AR, ST
    2. B PSY, SOW, LPSY
    3. C BC, AR, ST
    4. D UTAD, SOW, LPSY
    Show the answer

    Answer: C. Climactic volume at the end of a long advance is a buying climax, the sharp drop is the automatic reaction, and the quieter return that stalls is the secondary test. Together they form phase A of a possible distribution.

  2. A stock in a three-month range below $92 breaks out to $94.50 on heavy volume. The next two sessions close at $90.80 and $89.90. What is the most likely reading?

    1. A A successful breakout: buy the pullback toward $92 with a stop below the range
    2. B A likely UTAD: holders tighten stops; shorts use a stop above $94.50
    3. C A spring, which signals the start of markup
    Show the answer

    Answer: B. A UTAD is defined by its failure: price breaks above the range, then closes back inside it. The breakout high becomes the natural place for a short seller's stop.

  3. Early in an uptrend, after a moderate advance, a stock ranges near its high. Volume is heavier on rallies than on declines, the lows are rising, a dip below the range recovers within a day on light volume, and the stock held up well during the latest index pullback. What is the range most likely to be?

    1. A Re-accumulation
    2. B Distribution
    3. C Re-distribution
    Show the answer

    Answer: A. Heavier volume on rallies, rising lows, a spring-like recovery and relative strength all point to demand absorbing supply. That is re-accumulation, and the uptrend is likely to resume.

  4. After a sign of weakness to $79, a stock rallies to $84 on below-average volume and narrow bars, then turns down. You plan to sell short at $82.40. Where does the stop belong?

    1. A Below $79, the SOW low
    2. B At $82.40, the entry price
    3. C Always above the $92 range top
    4. D Just above $84, the LPSY high
    Show the answer

    Answer: D. The LPSY high is where the short idea is wrong: a move above it shows demand is still present. A stop there keeps the risk small and defined.

  5. You bought shares at $50 that now trade at $88, inside an $80–$92 range that shows signs of distribution. A sign of weakness then breaks $80 on heavy volume. What is the most sensible response for a holder?

    1. A Buy more, because the stock is back at support
    2. B Exit or sharply reduce to protect the gain
    3. C Wait for the $68 measured target before acting
    Show the answer

    Answer: B. For a holder, distribution is a signal to protect gains, and a heavy-volume break of support is the confirmation. The measured target is for short sellers, not a reason to sit through the decline.

  6. Two weeks ago a stock printed a buying climax and an automatic reaction. A trader wants to short the first secondary test. What is the most important caution?

    1. A None: the BC is usually the final high, so the short carries little risk
    2. B Shorts should only be opened after the measured target has been reached
    3. C Phase B can bring upthrusts above the BC; wait for phase C or D
    Show the answer

    Answer: C. Phase B swings are wide, and secondary tests or upthrusts often exceed the climax high. Shorting this early invites being stopped out before the real decline begins.

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