Selling rules and risk: cutting losses, taking profits and sizing positions

What you will learn

  • Apply a fixed loss limit and explain the arithmetic behind it
  • Size a position from its stop and decide how concentrated to be
  • Recognize when to sell into strength, including climax runs
  • Trail a winner and exit on weakness with clear rules

Check your understanding

Answer each question to see the explanation. Answers are not saved.

  1. You bought at $40 with a stop at $37. The stock closes at $36.80 on news that you think is overreacted. What should you do?

    1. A Move the stop to $33 to give it room
    2. B Buy more to lower the average cost
    3. C Sell as planned: the stop was hit
    4. D Wait for the next earnings report before deciding
    Show the answer

    Answer: C. A stop is decided before the trade so that it is taken without debate; moving it or averaging down turns a small loss into a large one.

  2. Your account is $80,000 and you risk 1% per trade. You plan to buy at $25 with a stop at $23. How many shares should you buy?

    1. A 400
    2. B 3,200
    3. C 800
    4. D 32
    Show the answer

    Answer: A. 1% of $80,000 is $800; divided by the $2 risk per share, that is 400 shares, a $10,000 position.

  3. A stock rises 22% in the two weeks after breaking out of a sound base, in a strong market. What do many growth traders do?

    1. A Sell everything at once to lock in the 22% gain before it fades
    2. B Hold for several weeks: fast starters often become big winners
    3. C Short it, because it rose too fast
    4. D Double the position immediately at any price
    Show the answer

    Answer: B. A 20% gain within about three weeks of a breakout is the classic exception to taking profits at 20–25%; the fastest starters tend to become the biggest winners.

  4. After an 11-month advance, a stock posts its largest weekly gain of the move, gaps up two days in a row on record volume, and trades 110% above its 200-day average. What does this most likely signal?

    1. A The start of a new base after a long advance
    2. B A volume pivot entry, given the record volume
    3. C A reason to add a large position into the strength
    4. D A climax run: a time to sell into strength
    Show the answer

    Answer: D. The fastest gains, late gaps, record volume and a price far above the 200-day average after a long run are classic climax signs.

  5. You hold a leader up 45%, trailed with the 50-day average. Today it closes 3% below the 50-day on volume twice its average, the first such close in nine months. What do your rules say?

    1. A Sell the remaining position, as the trailing rule says
    2. B Ignore it, because the stock is still up 45%
    3. C Buy more, because it is cheaper now
    4. D Switch the trailing rule to the 200-day average
    Show the answer

    Answer: A. A decisive, heavy-volume close below the 50-day average, especially the first after a long advance, is the trailing exit signal.

  6. You hold five stocks, each 20% of the account, all from the semiconductor group. What is the main risk?

    1. A There is no risk, because the positions are equal in size
    2. B The positions are too small to matter for the account
    3. C They act as one position, so a group decline hits it all
    4. D Semiconductors cannot be growth stocks, so the method fails
    Show the answer

    Answer: C. Stocks in one group tend to rise and fall together, so five of them are one large, concentrated bet.

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